Flip-flopping through the snowdrifts

2 Mar 11 - "The Union of Concerned Scientists sponsored a workshop on Mt. Washington in 2007 in which they promised ski areas that snow would be hard to come by even in northern areas and they might consider another profession," writes meteorologist Joe D'Aleo.

"That very winter, northern New England set a record for the greatest seasonal snow and ski areas had the best year in their history. Across the hemisphere that winter was surpassed only by 1977/78, 2009/10. Through January this winter, the Northern Hemisphere had more snow than any of those years and will rank likely in the top 5."

Maybe it's the global warming "scientists" who might consider another profession.

"The UCS was not alone in predicting warming means less snow," D'Aleo points out. "NOAA said so in their CCSP and the EPA in their TSD said most cities with winter averages near freezing (the case of most metros in the east) would see more rain and much less snow."

Also recall, says D'Aleo, that "the IPCC stated: “Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms”.

And then there was RFK Jr., who promised "children would be deprived of the fun of sledding due to warming - of course all-time record snows fell in 2009/10 and sleds and skis were the only way to get around the DC area."

"Now the alarmists have flipped their position claiming warming means more snow although it is a major stretch to think that would apply to Los Angeles, Houston, Dallas, New Orleans, and Atlanta in a warming world.

"Heavy snowstorms are not inconsistent with a warming planet,” said scientist Jeff Masters. “In fact, as the Earth gets warmer and more moisture gets absorbed into the atmosphere, we are steadily loading the dice in favor of more extreme storms in all seasons, capable of causing greater impacts on society.” “The old adage, ‘It’s too cold to snow,’ has some truth to it,” said Masters. “A colder atmosphere holds less moisture, limiting the snowfall that can occur.”

"First of all the winter was colder than normal not warmer as can be seen by this preliminary analysis from NOAA CPC," says D'Aleo.

Enlarged.

"Second the global oceans are colder than normal, especially around the United States as seen from this UNISYS SST anomaly analysis.

Enlarged.

"Third the amount of moisture in the air this winter was below normal (blues) in all the areas that had abnormal snow.

Enlarged.

"The snow resulted from a rapid cooling as we went from a strong El Nino to a strong La Nina and high latitude blocking consistent with a warm AMO mode and a still quiet sun (maybe some residual help from the high latitude volcanoes of recent years). Global temperature anomalies may have plunged more than a whole degree (F) from their peak last summer and early fall. February 2011’s anomaly (UAH) came in as -0.018F relative to the 30 year average. Recall global temperatures lag ENSO by about 7 months. Global teleconnections are most similar to the late 1950s, 1960s and 1970s when frequent snowy cold winters caused the world to increasingly think an ice age was coming.

"Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colorado, said less sea ice in the Arctic translates to more moisture in the atmosphere, and could also cause an atmospheric circulation pattern in polar regions known as Arctic Oscillation.

“It’s still cutting-edge research and there’s no smoking gun, but there’s evidence that with less sea ice, you put a lot of heat from the ocean into the atmosphere, and the circulation of the atmosphere responds to that,” Serreze said.

"He would not know cutting edge research if he fell over it," laughs D'Aleo.

See all of this great article, entitled “Scientists” Pull a Snow Job on Reporters in Teleconference" http://icecap.us/index.php/go/joes-blog/scientists_pull_a_snow_job_on_reporters_in_teleconference/

Meanwhile, ask the people in Central Park, Chicago, Minneapolis and Boston whether they think global warming is something to worry about.

Who is Joe D’Aleo?

Joe D'Aleo has one of the most popular climate websites in the world (www.icecap.us). He was the first Director of Meteorology at cable TV's Weather Channel, and Chief Meteorologist at the Weathers Service's International Corporation. He has over 30 years experience as a meteorologist, and was senior editor of Dr. Dewpoint, WSI's popular intellicast.com.

D'Aleo has also been a professor of meteorology at Lyndon State College (where meteorologists are trained). In addition to being a certified consulting meteorologist, D'Aleo was elected a fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and has served both as a member and as chairman of the American Meteorological Society.

THE NEXT ICE AGE - NOW!