Ice Ages Looked Like El Niño 

Not by Fire but by Ice



 Updated 12 Jul 2002      


Ice Ages Looked Like El Niño

12 Jul 02 - "During past ice ages," says an article in Nature, "the tropical Pacific Ocean behaved rather as it does to day in an El Niño event, bringing downpours to some places and drought to others." 

Studies by Stott and Kouvatas suggest that "shifts between warm and cool global average temperatures look, from the perspective of the tropical Pacific, like super El Niños. So too do the swings from shorter-term warming and cooling spells, called interstadials and stadials, that punctuated the last ice age."

"It's not clear, says Lowel Stott of the University of Southern California and his and colleagues, whether these changes imply that the climate was persistently in an El Niño-like phase during ice ages, or whether such phases came and went every few years, as they do at present, but more frequently and more intensely." 

See "Ice ages looked like El Niño," Nature, 12 Jul 2002

See also "
Global climate: no change" in the July 12 issue of Nature.  
Global climate 50,000 years ago was rather like that of today, the article 
says. Studies of fossilized trees in southern Chile reveal that the climate 
between the last two ice ages varied much as it does now. "Climate 
fluctuations closely resemble those we are experiencing now, including 
the 2--5--year spell of El Niño oscillations."
(My italics.)



El Niño activity correlates with ice ages


Here's another  important study showing that El Niño activity correlates with ice ages, by Meyerson, Mayewski, et al. 
(Annals of Glaciology 35: 430-436.) 

The authors found that a shift toward cooler conditions during the Little Ice Age was concurrent with an increase in the frequency of El Niño events. This is contrary to what is generally predicted by climate models, where cooling leads to less El Niño activity and warming leads to more.  

The findings were harmonious with the historical El Niño chronology of both South America and the Nile region, which depict "increased El Niño activity during the period of the Little Ice Age and decreased El Niño activity during the Medieval Warm Period.

This goes along with what I have been saying for years - that today's increase in El Niño activity is the precursor to an ice age. 

* * * * *

We’ve forgotten that this isn’t the first time our seas have warmed. Sea temperatures also shot upward 10º to 18ºF just prior to the last ice age.

As the oceans warmed, evaporation increased. The excess moisture then fell to the ground as giant blizzards, giant storms and floods (Noah's Deluge type floods), and a new ice age began.

The same thing is happening today.

It’s not global warming, it’s ocean warming, and humans have nothing to do with it. Our seas are being heated, I believe, by underwater volcanism. Here’s why:

  • We are living in a period of vastly increased volcanism, said Dixy Lee Ray in her 1993 book Environmental Overkill, the greatest in 500 years.
  • Eighty percent of all volcanism (say experts at NOAA) occurs underwater.
  • Therefore, underwater volcanism should also be the greatest in 500 years.
  • Our seas, heated by underwater volcanism, are leading us directly into the next ice age . . . and we don’t even know it.
  • That's what El Niño is all about. Warmer seas send excess moisture into the sky, leading to increased precipitation.
  • Worldwide flood activity is the worst since before Christopher Columbus. In Poland, it's the worst in several thousand years. In the U.S., precipitation has increased 20 percent just since 1970. This is no coincidence.
  • When that precipitation begins falling in the winter, you have the makings of an ice age.

See also
It's not global warming, it's ocean warming



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